function name PAShakeUpApplyChance(const out EffectAppliedData ApplyEffectParameters, XComGameState_BaseObject kNewTargetState, XComGameState NewGameState)
{
	//  this mimics the panic hit roll without actually BEING the panic hit roll
	local XComGameState_Unit TargetUnit;
	local name ImmuneName;
	local int TargetRoll, RandRoll;
	local XMBValue_Visibility Value;
	local int	BadGuysValue;

	Value = new class'XMBValue_Visibility';
	Value.bCountEnemies = true;
	Value.bSquadsight = true;

	TargetUnit = XComGameState_Unit(kNewTargetState);
	if (TargetUnit != none)
	{
		foreach class'X2AbilityToHitCalc_PanicCheck'.default.PanicImmunityAbilities(ImmuneName)
		{
			if (TargetUnit.FindAbility(ImmuneName).ObjectID != 0)
			{
				return 'AA_UnitIsImmune';
			}
			if (default.PAShakeUp_BerserkerImmunity) {
				if (TargetUnit.GetMyTemplate().CharacterGroupName == 'Berserker')
				{
				return 'AA_UnitIsImmune';
				}
			}
		}

		BadGuysValue = Value * default.PAShakeUp_DECREASE_PER_VISIBLE_ENEMY;

		TargetRoll = default.PAShakeUp_BASE_CHANCE - BadGuysValue;
		RandRoll = `SYNC_RAND(100);
		if (RandRoll < TargetRoll)
		{
			return 'AA_Success';
		}
	}

	return 'AA_EffectChanceFailed';
}